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Test string

TOPIC HISTORY

Hillary Clinton Has A Serious Medical Condition That is Being Hidden From the Public, Probability



Statements

Statement Type Title Description Proposed Probability Author History Last Updated
STATEMENT Hillary Clinton Has A Serious Medical Condition That is Being Hidden From the Public, Probability

Hillary Clinton Has A Serious Medical Condition That is Being Hidden From the Public. Expecting a probability.

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST The Campaign Denies It

I estimate the probability the campaign would deny it if she had a serious health condition, assuming she had a very serious health condition, conditioned on her continuing to run as she has, as .95

I estimate the probability the campaign would deny it if she had a serious health condition assuming she didn't have one, as 1.0

 

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST InfoWars Reported Secret Service Agents Contacted Them to Tell Them of Hillary's Neurological Problems Before Her 911 Episode

http://www.infowars.com/secret-service-whistleblower-hillary-has-major-neurological-problems/  

I estimate the likelihood of InfoWars reporting this if Hillary did have major neurological problems at about .6 Certainly this probability must include the likelihood they would report it if not contacted by the SS (which I am estimating below at .1). The report includes the detail that the SS had tried to place the story with other mainstream media but they were uninterested, which is very credible and explains why InfoWars. So we are left with estimating the likelihood the SS would squeal if she was running with Parkinsons. I'd say in todays world, that's at least .5 
I figure this is conservative, on the low side.

I estimate the likelihood of InfoWars reporting this if Hillary did not have major neurological problems at about .1 

I consider that very conservatively high. Infowars very very rarely reports based on confidential sources. I've watched them a lot, and I've never caught them in a lie. This would be a blatant lie by them, or else they would have had to be duped by an SS member or somebody impersonating one. Both those seem unlikely to me.

The fact that this was in essence a prediction-- they posted this back on August 15 before the more recent episodes such as the 911 fall-- makes it significantly stronger evidence. Even if they had wanted to fabricate something, how would they have gotten it so right?

 

 

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
STATEMENT She didn't have pneumonia and the Doctor said she did

The proposed probability of this determines the likelihood, if the statement is true, the target statement is proved.
I'm going to give this a proposed probability of .9 because if the Doctor is knowingly lying, they are hiding something.

It could be that she didn't have pneumonia and the Doctor is just an imbecile, not lying, and nothing is being hidden, but I consider that a low probability event.

0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
CITATION If she'd fainted from pneumonia she wouldn't have been up kissing children an hour later

 

the diagnosis of “pneumonia” being put forth by her physician – Dr. Bardack – is just simply imbecile. A patient who would have this kind of event with pneumonia – would NOT be up and walking around an hour later. If this type of thing happens during pneumonia or any other infection, the patient is almost always suffering from sepsis – and not up and walking. Again – this is imbecile. Third year medical students know better than this.

Dr. at http://www.theamericanconservative.com/dreher/how-sick-is-hillary/ 

 

0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST Bill Clinton said a day later she had flu

I estimate the likelihood of Clinton misspeaking like this if she had pneumonia and had collapsed from it as claimed as .1

I estimate the likelihood of Clinton misspeaking like this if its a coverup as .5

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
CITATION fainting is not consistent with the video of her collapse

I am in internist in a large metro area.

It is my job to make diagnoses often with just my eyes and nose and ears alone – this is especially true in the geriatric community.

It is with great consternation that I have seen and read physician evaluations of Mrs. Clinton in the news media. You should never make diagnoses like that without having the patient right in front of you.

Furthermore – some of the videos that have been put forward to support these claims have just been looney-tunes.

All that being said – I am deeply concerned about this video.

Mrs. Clinton clearly suffered a syncopal episode while getting into that van today. The “overheating” excuse is just ridiculous – a normal healthy individual would never do that type of thing in 80 degree weather unless they had just completed a marathon or something profoundly strenuous. That just does not occur. That immediately puts the lie to the “overheated” excuse that her campaign came up with.

Well you say – could it have been a fainting spell? Possible – but in my 30 years experience as a physician, “fainting spells” or vasovagal episodes do not usually require 4 or 5 people to throw someone in a van. Furthermore – in that type of event the person almost always slinks straight down or backwards – NOT FORWARDS. Mrs. Clinton very clearly is going forward.

I see the metal object in that video – I haven’t a clue what that could be – nothing in my experience as a physician looks quite like that – could it have been an inkpen? Regardless – the far far more telling issue that you can clearly see in that video around the time the metal is dropped is Mrs. Clinton’s right foot. It was clearly being dragged along the street with the anterior portion down on the concrete. I am certain this is how the shoe came off. The comportment of this foot could only mean one thing – her brain or her spinal cord was offline – if ever so fleeting – during that moment. Her right foot was acutely flaccid. There are but a few things that can cause this type of issue:

BRAIN or Spinal Cord TRAUMA – no way this happened

An overdose of powerful sedatives or general anesthesia – again – this seems to not be the case

A seizure – not likely – this type of thing usually occurs in the post-ictal phase after a tonic-clonic seizure – and people who are having this type of thing – DO NOT WALK TO A VAN.

A Stroke or TIA – It is possible but not likely – given her interview on the street just an hour later. It would have had to have been a very very fast TIA or transient ischemic attack to recover this quickly – the recovery on this is usually hours or days.

The most likely diagnosis – in my mind – an acute cardiac arrhythmia – either ventricular tachycardia – or more likely atrial fibrillation with a rapid ventricular response. A FIB with RVR is very very commonly associated with people feeling flushed or overheated – for quite extended periods of time – dizziness and nausea are also possible. When they exert themselves – it is not unusual at all for them to have complete syncope like she appeared to do today. If not afib with RVR – it is possible there could have been some other supraventricular tachycardia – there are several different types.
http://www.theamericanconservative.com/dreher/how-sick-is-hillary/ 

0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST The Doctor's letter mis-stated the cat scan supposedly performed

The diagnosis of "noncontagious bacterial pneumonia" is not actually a valid diagnosis, the non-contagious part seems to have been inserted, and the Doctor's letter describes a non-existent procedure ("a non-contrast chest CT scan including a CTA calcium score") https://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/09/14/hillary-clintons-nonexistent-diagnosis-no-such-condition-as-non-contagious-bacterial-pneumonia-in-icd-10/ 

 

I'm going to give this a proposed probability of .5 because its relying on the doctors post.
I guess the probability of this if Hillary has pneumonia at .1

The probability of it if its actually a cover-up of something else at .5 

0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST Hillary's Doctor gave her neurological tests on 91116 before her collapse

Her Doctor gave Hillary neurological tests on 9/11/16 before her collapse.
http://hiddenamericans.com/politics/hillary-received-squeeze-my-fingers-neurological-test-at-911-memorial/
      

I figure the likelihood of this if she didn't have a neurological problem, but just dehydration as .1

The likelihood of it if she has a recurrent neurological problem as .9

0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST She Went to Chelsea's Instead of a Hospital

A sixty-eight year old eminence who faints from pneumonia, the protocol is to go to the hospital.
In the event, they went to Chelsea Clintons.

I estimate the likelihood of this if she really had pneumonia at .1

I estimate the likelihood of this if she had a known neurological condition they are covering up as .9

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
STATEMENT I haven't even gotten around to adding in all the various events, and its already a done deal 1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0