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Reward is a feature that we hope will inspire experts to answer important questions and make their answers available to everyone. It allows a sponsor to signal that they think a question is particularly important by offering a financial prize for established arguments that contribute to the establishment or refutation of the topic. A prize winner can keep the money, apply it to reward other questions, or donate it to charity.

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Payout Rules:
The total reward is divided among all statements that were created during the period after the reward is offered and are established at the payout date.

The total reward is divided among all save events occurring during the period after the reward is offered that add one or more statements that change the status of the root and are established at the payout date.

Half of the reward is divided among all statements that were created during the period after the reward is offered and are established at the payout date and the other half is divided among all save events occurring during the period after the reward is offered that add one or more statements that change the status of the root and are established at the payout date.



Topic:

Reward is a feature that we hope will inspire experts to answer important questions and make their answers available to everyone. It allows a sponsor to signal that they think a question is particularly important by offering a financial prize for established arguments that contribute to the establishment or refutation of the topic. A prize winner can keep the money, apply it to reward other questions, or donate it to charity.

Rewrd Name :
Reward Description:
Offered By:
Prize:
Closing Date:
Status:

Payout Rules:


Conditions:


Topic:

Reward is a feature that we hope will inspire experts to answer important questions and make their answers available to everyone. It allows a sponsor to signal that they think a question is particularly important by offering a financial prize for established arguments that contribute to the establishment or refutation of the topic. A prize winner can keep the money, apply it to reward other questions, or donate it to charity.

Test string

TOPIC HISTORY

An Example of Probability Calculations



Statements

Statement Type Title Description Proposed Probability Author History Last Updated
STATEMENT Joe Blow is less than 5'6" We are going to estimate the likelihood based on what we know that some person we know a few things about is less than 5'6" 1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
STATEMENT Joe Blow smoked as a child, and smoking as a child stunts your growth enough of the time that there's 1/3 chance this made him short 0.33 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
STATEMENT smoking stunts your growth enough to make 1/3 the guys who do it shorter than 5'6" This statement is: "smoking stunts your growth enough to make 1/3 the guys who do it shorter than 5'6" in other words, proof of statement n1. I have assigned it Proposed Probability .5 to express ambivalence about whether it is true, and tested it with Test n3 to get an accurate estimate. 0.5 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST Epidemilogical study reports results suggesting smoking stunts your growth by this amount

The researchers looked at 100 guys who had smoked as children and 100 guys who didn't and determined the guys who didn't smoke were on average 1" taller. The null hypothesis that smoking doesn't stunt your growth was ruled out with 95% confidence. The likelihood the Test found these results if n2 is true is .95 The likelihood the Test found these results if n2 is false is .05

1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
CITATION Authors X, Y, and Z, Profound Journal of Medicine 1.0 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
STATEMENT Joe Blow's parents are both very short, therefor likelihood of .5 he is short. 0.5 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0
TEST Joe Blow doesn't play basketball. Joe blow doesn't play basketball. The likelihood of not playing basketball if you are over 5'6" is 40%. The likelihood of not playing basketball if you are under 5'6" is 90%. (Feel free to challenge because these numbers are made up!) So the Likelihood Estimate is .9/(.9+.4)=.69 The Proposed belief has been set at .9 because I'm only 90% sure he really doesn't play basketball. There's a 10% chance my source doesn't know anything about it and just made it up. 0.9 Eric Details 2016-09-28 22:27:34.0