Does Jane Doe have cancer given a positive test

Eric
02 Sep 2020
Views
Statements
Users 1
  Probability Mode
Score   0.97%
Proposed Belief  100%
Eric
02 Sep 2020
TE reply 0 reply 2 reply

Jane Doe has Breast Cancer

  Probability Mode
Score
0.97%
Proposed Belief
100%
Likelihood Estimate given target=True
50.0%
Likelihood Estimate given target=False
50.0%
Likelihood Estimate

Jane Doe has cancer.

This is an example of a classic Bayesian calculation. it is patterned on ( and the numbers are taken from) the discussion  on pages 104-105 in

Pearl, Judea. The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect. Basic Books. Kindle Edition. 

Proofs - PRO To Topic
2
Test Statements for Probability Testing
Refutations - CON To Topic
0
Proofs - PRO to Topic
Refutations - CON to Topic
Test Statements for Probability Testing

Related Topics

1/700 of the population has Breast cancer
Jane Doe has Breast Cancer
Jane Doe has a positive test

1/700 of the population has cancer


Jane Doe has cancer.

This is an example of a classic Bayesian calculation. it is patterned on ( and the numbers are taken from) the discussion  on pages 104-105 in

Pearl, Judea. The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect. Basic Books. Kindle Edition. 


 Jane Doe has a positive test

Likelihood of having cancer given a positive test


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